Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 2.997454 3.350592 3.732706 4.177545 4.681993 5.237205 5.895848
2024-10-20 2.449050 2.912004 3.448253 4.117749 4.934605 5.903118 7.144727
2024-10-27 2.016134 2.507715 3.106304 3.893488 4.908283 6.181632 7.914836
2024-11-03 1.798898 2.322480 2.987078 3.900038 5.133182 6.757426 9.085987
2024-11-10 1.665220 2.220610 2.951583 3.994985 5.463829 7.484304 10.519924
2024-11-17 1.533838 2.103677 2.877706 4.020388 5.688891 8.074442 11.812817
2024-11-24 1.423378 2.002103 2.810891 4.041935 5.900530 8.654068 13.141162
2024-12-01 1.327704 1.911031 2.747743 4.057609 6.097316 9.220973 14.501521
2024-12-08 1.216187 1.786362 2.623214 3.966397 6.116504 9.508618 15.436454
2024-12-15 1.136837 1.702548 2.551367 3.946968 6.241587 9.968231 16.696339
2024-12-22 1.061815 1.619025 2.472373 3.907270 6.326391 10.364007 17.882097
2024-12-29 1.037321 1.611949 2.511226 4.059852 6.741541 11.350540 20.223612
2025-01-05 0.977658 1.545873 2.452979 4.049869 6.884669 11.891856 21.838097
2025-01-12 0.917610 1.474875 2.381362 4.010838 6.972713 12.343075 23.337303
2025-01-19 0.830943 1.353685 2.217280 3.796709 6.724589 12.150527 23.543218
2025-01-26 0.791369 1.309140 2.179758 3.803854 6.883324 12.735926 25.390871
2025-02-02 0.769272 1.292825 2.189344 3.896369 7.210012 13.675785 28.095060
2025-02-09 0.738005 1.258217 2.163930 3.921112 7.406580 14.375166 30.368162
2025-02-16 0.708532 1.224741 2.137957 3.942077 7.596362 15.077678 32.736759
2025-02-23 0.680391 1.191766 2.110433 3.957323 7.774882 15.772757 35.177371
2025-03-02 0.640165 1.134132 2.033340 3.868607 7.729416 15.981831 36.491357
2025-03-09 0.612087 1.097301 1.992841 3.849709 7.828685 16.515347 38.660754
2025-03-16 0.583468 1.057743 1.944569 3.811094 7.881543 16.949006 40.636695